Market Wrap
Published
The S&P 500 slipped 0.2% as surging Treasury yields, rather than the Iran conflict directly, drove the session, with the 10-year climbing to 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, and the 30-year touching 5.70%, pressuring every rate-sensitive corner of the market.
The bond selloff set the tone globally. UK 30-year gilts jumped to 6.03%, the highest since 1998, French yields stayed elevated on political uncertainty even as the finance ministry denied any change to issuance strategy, and Germany's 2-year yield was the lone decliner among European sovereigns. A $39 billion 10-year Treasury auction cleared at 5.300%. The Fed's September meeting minutes, released during the session, showed all 19 participants backed the 25 basis point hike and most expected another by year-end, with inflation risks seen tilted to the upside. Trump said the Fed "wants to see the country do badly" and argued rates should fall, while Treasury Secretary Bessent said mortgage rates and energy prices should ease once the Iran conflict ends.
Energy markets eased modestly even as the Strait of Hormuz standoff continued. WTI crude settled down 1.3% to $88.28 and Brent fell 0.4% to $100.20, helped by a coordinated push from IEA members to accelerate the release of roughly 100 million barrels of reserves, including diesel-focused releases from France and Poland. That came even as Iran reiterated the Strait will stay closed until its demands are met and a tanker was reportedly struck by projectiles off Qatar, and as US Gulf production remained more than 25% shut in. Gold fell nearly 2% to around $4,081 an ounce and silver dropped more than 3%, with gold and silver miner ETFs down 3% to 4%, as rising yields overwhelmed the safe-haven bid.
Health Care was the standout sector, up 1.0%, led by Gilead Sciences and Amgen. Industrials led decliners, down 2.1%, with Caterpillar falling 5.6% as the worst performer in the group. Materials fell 1.5% despite a 4.0% gain in Corteva, dragged by Mosaic's slide. Real Estate dropped 1.3% and Financials fell 0.5%, with Goldman Sachs turning negative for the year and Coinbase and Robinhood among the weakest names; Technology slipped 0.3%, with Texas Instruments and Analog Devices among the laggards even as Micron and NetApp gained on memory-chip strength. High Beta and momentum factors underperformed broadly, while Value held up best.
Company News
- Constellation Brands beat on quarterly earnings but guided fiscal 2027 organic net sales growth to a range of -1% to +1%, sending shares down roughly 5%.
- Chevron agreed to divest its Hess Midstream stake and DJ Basin midstream assets for $200 million in cash plus improved Bakken terms, expecting to deconsolidate about $3.7 billion of debt and book a $3 to $4 billion after-tax loss; Hess Midstream shares fell 14%.
- Cintas confirmed its UniFirst acquisition remains on track for a year-end close after clearing US and Canadian antitrust reviews, with a timing agreement barring closing before December 11.
- SpaceX is seeking $40 billion in financing led by Apollo to purchase Nvidia chips.
- Fair Isaac announced a workforce reduction of roughly 15% of positions, with pre-tax charges of about $27 million expected in its fiscal fourth quarter.
- Curtiss-Wright shares fell sharply after disclosing CFO Chris Farkas will retire at year-end, with Gary Ogilby named interim CFO.
- Lululemon's CEO and CFO will depart November 6, with Gauger promoted to president and chief product officer.
- OpenAI rolled out GPT-6 to all ChatGPT users globally.